First a quick poll.
The Ethical Skeptic has been a good source of relevant and…well sceptical information during the pandemic. He believes the data shows Covid was spreading in 2018 and that mRNA vaccine have caused mass harm.
So I was interested to read his recent hypothesis on climate change.
I was a little disappointed to read that he was once an anthropogenic global warming advocate but that doesn’t stop me from reading someone’s ideas. However, he now says, “I feel betrayed by this movement and no longer recognize its authority as ‘science’. I don’t like bullies or liars.”
Personally, I look at the behaviour of the people screaming that I should be panicking. If it doesn’t match with what they are saying, I am instantly sceptical. So during the pandemic, politicians (who had all the data to hand) were partying whilst telling everyone there was a deadly virus. Clearly they were not worried about a deadly virus so from that point on, anything they said was to be treated with extreme caution.
The same goes for climate change. The people screaming the loudest are also the ones producing the most carbon, buying beach front properties and flying around the globe in private jets. Again, that instantly makes me distrust another word that comes out of their mouths.
But I remain open to the possibility that climate change is something to worry about. I’m not saying I think it is but that I remain open to that possibility. After all, the climate has constantly changed since the birth of the planet so of course it could change for the worse at some point.
So on to The Ethical Skeptic’s theory on what is happening with the climate. A theory he calls the Exothermic (Cyclic) Core Theory of Climate Change. According to his theory, recent climate change may largely originate from structural and exothermic phase changes in the Earth's nickel-iron core. ES argues that lattice structure changes in the core material release latent kinetic energy or heat, which eventually flows to the asthenosphere and abyssal ocean depths, becoming the genesis of the majority of observed climate change.
Under extreme conditions, the core undergoes changes in its structure, specifically in the arrangement of its iron atoms. This change, called a phase transition, results in the core shedding a type of iron known as high-latent-energy iron into the mantle, the layer just above the core.
During this transition, the iron changes from a hexagonal close-packed (HCP) structure to a face-centred cubic (FCC) structure. This structural transformation releases a significant amount of energy in the form of heat, akin to how energy is released when water boils to become steam. This is what's referred to as an "exothermic" change, meaning it releases heat.
This exothermic heat then gradually makes its way up from the core, through the mantle, and eventually reaches a layer just below the Earth's crust known as the asthenosphere. The heat accelerates the release of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, from deep pockets of crude oil known as acyclic alkanes. Simultaneously, the rising temperatures lead to increased carbon emissions from the warming oceans and tundra.
The heat also warms the deep ocean, particularly at points where the ocean floor is in contact with the heated asthenosphere. Oceanic "conveyance belts," which are part of a global ocean circulation system, then transport this heat from the depths to the ocean surface. The increased ocean temperatures affect the atmosphere, causing it to warm more than it would due to atmospheric heating alone. This process, according to the theory, is cyclical and may eventually reverse, but the current phase is contributing to the observed climate change.
To put it simply, ES thinks that the sea has been warming too quickly for it to be man-made or from the sun. Instead it must be coming from underground.
He started developing this theory after reading a study showing that the world's oceans are warming at an alarming rate. He argues that the oceans are warming too rapidly and asymmetrically at abyssal depths to be explained by human activity.
Apparently, 37% of current Sea Surface Temperature heat since 1995 arrived in a mere 3 weeks - all over the globe.
50% of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature warming since 1995 arrived in 14 days.
ES believes that climate change is an ACAN (Asymmetric – Complex – Ambiguous – Novel/Non-Linear) Problem that has pushed experts beyond their domain of competence in terms of problem definition. He is concerned that doubling-down on a single premature conclusion carries significant risk.
Strange things have been happening recently (maybe just on Twitter but perhaps globally).
A Russian Schumann Resonance detector started displaying some curious patterns. This records the Earth’s lowest frequency electro-magnetic radiation. The image on the left is normal and on the right is the recent recording.
But other sensors around the world continued to display normal readings, so perhaps just a faulty Russian machine.
And another monitoring system, which detects fires, showed Antarctica on fire for a few days. But again, hopefully just another malfunction.
What do you think?
I think you need to re-word your survey.
I believe that the climate CHANGES (not that it is warming) and that it is entirely naturally caused and there is no need for panic - ever. Unless, as I also beleive, we are going into a cooling period (the SUNspot theory, by that Russian professor and John Casey. And if so, and we are running out of oil that is economically feasible to source, THEN we might want to move SOUTH.
I beleive more CO2 in the atsmosphere is good, but has no effect on the climate.
Thanks for giving the summary of ES theory. I started his essay on that a few times, but quickly felt imposter syndrome :-).
It's hard to take CAGW theory seriously, not just because of how the elites behave (e.g., buying beachfront properties), but because even if you accept all The Science, it's an impossible geo-political problem: the West could go completely carbon neutral tomorrow and it wouldn't even be measurable in the temperature in a 100 years *according to their own theory*. China and India are by far the main drivers of CO2 going forward. Unless your CAGW plan includes invading them and forcing them to shutdown industry, it's pointless.
It's also hard to take people seriously when they behave like Covidians: censor/other critics, ignore their own failed predictions, claim they're The Science, mobilize propaganda, etc., etc., etc. I'm starting to believe one of the most important questions we should ask our politicians, gov't scientists, experts, etc., is, "how will you know if you're wrong?". With covid and ACGW, they don't even accept the premise they could be wrong.