Does NHS data show the pandemic started in 2019 (Months before officially declared) meaning lockdowns achieved nothing.
A look at Emergency Admissions in England
There have been lots of controversial reports that COVID-19 may have been present in the West in 2019. I’m sure you have all heard anecdotes from people saying that they are convinced they had it in 2019. Maybe you are one of them?
Officially, the pandemic emerged in China in late 2019 before spreading to the rest of the world in 2020. The first US case was from a traveller returning from Wuhan on 15 January 2020. It wasn’t until 30th January 2020 that the first two cases arrived in the UK when two Chinese nationals travelled to (Old) York.
However, early on there were reports that suggested the virus was present much earlier.
In New York, blood samples from 24,000 Americans were sampled and the results suggested the virus was present in the US in December 2019.
The University of Barcelona published findings that suggested COVID-19 was present in sewage samples in March 2019.
Jay Bhattacharya recently tweeted that Covid antibodies were found in stored blood from Sept/Nov 2019 in European blood banks.
Virál Myālgía MD, PhD @contrarian4dataIt always seemed probabilistically unlikely that SARS-CoV-2 was not circulating in multiple major international travel hubs by December. French IgG study: https://t.co/fvsaroaEg6 Italian IgM study: https://t.co/hvjwL4Gzju Illusions of control. Delusions of potency.
Was the virus circulating around the world long before it had even been identified in China? If so, how did we not see it until the pandemic was declared in Spring 2020. Can data from the National Health Service in England add further evidence that it was spreading around the world but also that it was making people ill? If so what are the consequences of this?
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My interest was first piqued this morning when I posted “A Picture is worth a Thousand Words”.
This graph showed how much strain the NHS is currently under with waiting times >12 hours going through the roof.
The most recent sky-rocketing line is impressively worrying but the two peaks before that caught my attention. I decided to take a closer look.
This is a portion of the graph reproduced and zoomed in.
As you can see from both graphs, there are small peaks (at around 1,000 patients) in Winter 2016 and 2017, with a smaller peak in 2018. However, there is an extraordinary jump in Winter 2019, peaking in January 2020 at a record 2,847 patients.
There looked to be a peak in November 2019, in line with previous years, again at around 1,000 patients. Then something happened and it shot up in December 2019.
When we were told the pandemic was peaking and lockdowns were required (March/April 2020), the figures were back down to their previous trend.
It was not until January 2021, when the UKs biggest wave occurred, that the peak of January 2020 was breached.
What was happening in December 2019 that caused the number of patients spending >12 hours from decision to admit to admission to shoot up so dramatically? Yes, the NHS is progressively getting worse and worse but something happened to cause that spike.
Is this further evidence that the virus was circulating in the West in December 2019, long before the pandemic was declared. Moreover, is this evidence that it wasn’t just silently floating around gaining strength, it was actually causing disruption in hospitals.
If so, then this shows lockdowns were completely unnecessary and did absolutely nothing to prevent the virus spreading. It had already been doing so for at least four months.
Another question to ask is, if actual cases had peaked in January 2021 and hospitals were going back to normal, what caused the large amount of deaths in March/April 2021. There have been suggestions that certain drugs used on the elderly in care homes, combined with DNR (Do Not Resuscitate) orders could have been a cause for the spike.
Every time a new study suggesting that the virus was spreading earlier is published, it is not widely reported on, people are sceptical and dismiss it. Is this because the consequences of these findings would be damning on the advocates of lockdowns. This would be proof that not only did lockdowns cause massive harms but did nothing to stop the pandemic which was already happening around us, unnoticed. It would also be further evidence that not until governments and the media whipped up a frenzy did people notice the virus and actual damage was caused and deaths occurred.