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Did first vaccine doses cause a spike in Covid hospitalisations?
More evidence for an ever more apparent trend
In July, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the UK, released statistics for ‘Coronavirus (COVID-19) hospital admissions by vaccination and pregnancy status, England’.
I first wrote about it here where I questioned why the <14 days since vaccination category was lumped in with the unvaccinated category. I requested that the ONS send me the <14 day data and separate the whole dataset by date.
The data is between 8 December 2020 and 31 August 2021 and my prediction was that when separated by date, the data would show that most of the unvaccinated were in hospital early on when nobody was vaccinated. Therefore, by lumping all the dates together it would seem that more unvaccinated than vaccinated were hospitalised with Covid, when in reality almost everyone at the time was unvaccinated.
Unfortunately, the ONS would not separate the data by date (either a weekly or monthly breakdown) “due to disclosure control of small numbers”. There are almost 10,000 hospital admissions recorded over a nine month period and normally only number under 5 or 10 would cause any disclosure problems. Therefore, my suspicions are still valid and I’m guessing that most of the data is from December 2020-January 2021, when admissions were high and vaccination rates were non existent. This allows them to say ‘look how many unvaccinated went to hospital with Covid’. Maybe I’m wrong but if I am, release the data so you can show me why.
However, the ONS did send me some of the data I requested - the number of hospital admissions that occurred between 0 and 14 days of vaccination. As outlined above, as this is not separated by date, comparing with the unvaccinated numbers is meaningless. However, comparing against the other vaccinated categories is interesting.
If we look at all single vaccinated women (pregnant & non-pregnant) and see how long after vaccination before they became hospitalised with Covid, we get this graph.
As you can see, out of all hospitalisations in single-vaccinated women, 43% of them occur within the first 14 days of vaccination. If we just look up to 90 days (because we don’t know how many days after 90 days the data went), 14 days represents 16% of the time but 50% of the infections happen in this time period.
When separated by pregnant and non-pregnant women, these percentages change but still 26% of pregnant women are hospitalised within 14 days and 45% of non-pregnant women.
Again, if only looking up to 90 days (with 14 days representing 16% of the time) 40% of pregnant women were hospitalised and 51% of non-pregnant women, within that 14 day time frame.
This pattern does not happen in the double vaccinated.
This time, only 8% of hospitalisations occur within 14 days. If looking just up to 90 days (with 14 days representing 16% of the time), only 14% of hospitalisations occur within 14 days.
When separated by pregnant and non-pregnant women, 13% of hospitalisations occur within 14 days of vaccination for pregnant women and 8% for non-pregnant women.
To conclude, it seems that a very high percentage of single jabbed women became hospitalised for Covid within 14 days of vaccination. This pattern does not happen after the second vaccination. Perhaps this may be explained if the data were broken down by date but for some reason, the ONS won’t release this.
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