A post on what is maybe the most obvious thing in the world but most can’t see, ignore or don’t want to talk about.
M1 money supply in the US since the ‘60s. It’s amazing how M1 money supply predicts Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and increases six fold, two years early.
Grrrrrr, I’m so angry that Putin has caused all this inflation. Sorry, I forgot to take my ‘triggered’ pills, I’m so easily triggered these days. As Neil points out below, the area highlighted in red should read Trump/Biden.
The inevitable, and only just beginning, conclusion.
Never stop telling the people that overreacted on Covid that their shrieking has caused today’s pain. Otherwise, it will just happen all over again. They selfishly got caught up in thinking about their own mortality without thinking about the complexity of the situation and the consequences that follow.
Government loans were necessary to support low income workers who were being denied a living by the wealthy laptop class but the economy should never have shut down in the first place. Moreover, much of the printed money was fraudulently taken by the wealthy who know how to game the system. I personally have heard many stories of loans being taken out to buy second homes or other assets and this is just the small scale stuff.
And if your argument is “it was necessary to save lives” then predominantly the lives that you saved were the elderly who you trapped and scared witless in their homes or care home rooms. They eventually died anyway, because that is life and what happens when you are old, but instead of happily enjoying those extra 6 months you gave them, they were forced to be alone with maybe the occasional zoom call if they were lucky.
As I’m typing I’m thinking back to a conversation I had with a doctor friend in early March 2020. He asked me if I was worried about dying from the virus. I said that I was more worried about what this is all going to do to the economy to which he replied that I need to get my priorities right.
So here we are today, with inflation having absolutely nothing at all to do with Covid overreactions.
Or maybe I’m reading the charts wrong? What are your thoughts and predictions for inflation in the West over the next few years?
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Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
Using the same inflation calculator as the 70s and 80s the figure is closer to 20%. The highest ever. Get ready for their new thing, cbdcs backed by nothing that are programmed to guide consumer behavior toward "sustainability".
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
The fiat USD system was already broken and on borrowed time before COVID. WEF "Elites" just used the "Pandemic" as an excuse to squeeze the last juice out of the lemon before provoking a war in Ukraine and blaming Putin for the collapse. Hopefully, enough people in the West can see it for what it is, i.e. an engineered implosion, and we won't end up in WWIII.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
My 86 year old father sits in a local psych ward as I write these comments after being admitted for suicidal thoughts. I cannot help but blame the lockdowns for his condition - he was a social person who spent hours several days a week taking exercise classes at a YMCA. I would much prefer he battled with covid than the condition he finds himself in now. He never got the annual flu shots but sadly after reading about long covid he relented and got the pfizer jab.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
Just an observation on the misleading party political tagging of Biden here: the biggest printing of USD occurred in 2020 under Trump. Not that either of these guys called the shots anyway.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
But the fact is they saved no lives. Damned if they did. How so? They never prevented anyone getting covid - charts of lockdowns v no lockdowns show the same trajectories.
They didn't do it with vaccines; early there were no vaccines. Late the efficacy of vaccines is very disputable. Pfizer vaccine in any case was only ever even touted as adding 0.1% efficacy to the existing efficacy of your immune system. The others would be much the same.
Granted that is an average over their test cases and it may have been higher in the elderly such as you quote. But then would depend, we see with hind and present sight, on when they took the vaccine as against when they got the virus. For the first two weeks after the vaccine makes them more vulnerable to severe and fatal attacks from the virus. So that's very much a moot point.
As against we must put the complete absence of any steps whatever to actually fight the virus and/or enhance the immune system. i.e. getting vitamins and minerals to the right levels and using repurposes anti-virals. Not to mention psychological factors i.e. at least removing the deleterious psychological factors being deliberately - by their own admission - poured into the people in order to frighten them.
Given the above we can see the notional +0.1% may quite easily have been obtained in other ways and without the negatives of the first two weeks vulnerability and the possible first two years of lingering negative effects.
Hence anyone 'saved' by anything the govt did is someone who quite easily could have been better 'saved' by removing the government's heavy hand.
And in all of this we remain steadfastly parochial. We ought now to have fair idea if collateralglobal's prognosticationns of wholesale death and injury, starvation and worse in the third world are being borne out at all.
For if they are those deaths should also be set against any supposed 'saves' govts might claim.
You know what it all looks like to me? LIke they all knew it was disastrous but felt the whole western world and the USA in particular was facing an impossible situation anyway. Might as well go out with a bang.
So they've all just had a party. Each with whatever they could. Pollies with their power. Business with selling all this crap. Media with promoting the party line and handsomely paid to do so. Financiers etc playing the market - I've seen plenty observations claiming the richest have got considerable richer in the last two years. Doctors and hospitals handsomely paid.
Even disgruntled workers paid off for some time - with, of course, their own taxpayer money.
And the remaining people who don't fit into any of that? Yes, us, the 'ordinary' workers and citizens, we just paid for it all and shambled about like dull masked peasant sheep coming in and out of our pens only when told we could.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
It's a very dark sentiment, but I made a post yesterday (albeit more of a ramble) that the increasing death rates we are seeing in heavily locked down countries are the inevitable death of the vulnerable. Although they were held off for a year or two while the rest of the world was getting infected Omicron was able to find these populations.
I can tell you here in the US gas prices have been steadily increasing since early 2020 and I've been noticing it. What's striking is how all of a sudden the increase in gas is being blamed on the Ukraine/Russia conflict and how many people latch onto it. It's scary how easily people can be made to over ride prior thinking with a mere mention from the news.
Apr 13, 2022·edited Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
82 rubles to a USD at the moment. About 3 times higher than 15 years ago. Twice as high as late 2014 before it fell to 60 rubles or so (and stayed there).
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
The war in Ukraine, which I incidentally totally condemn, is literally a godsend for the criminal vaccinators and money printers. So convenient to blame inflation on something other than money printing and suppression of hydrocarbon production. Also a great distraction fromthe ongoing COVID disaster.
What happens in the UK with Covid is outright frightening, frankly.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
Can someone please echo “Good Citizen”’s post over and over, please? I am so tired of these people saying it’s the highest inflation since 1981. It’s more simply put, the highest inflation ever. 1981 was 14-14.5%. We are closer to 19% now as he mentioned. 18.8% if you calculate it as I did. Additionally, please remember the 1981 CPI is NOT THE SAME as today’s. It’s accounting sorcery. 1981 weighted gasoline/fuel at 24%. 2022 weights it at around 4%. Soooo, we’re actually much, much worse off than even what I’m saying.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
The dissonance is real . . . and can't be corrected. In the UK, I find that the very same people protesting the building of houses in their neighbourhoods (NIMBYS) also say that migrants are welcome.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
Be afraid. Recall when we were all about to die from terrorists? Or your children would never grow up because of school shootings? Or all your LGBTQ and POC are being hunted and killed? Or your kids are about to be kidnapped? Or that going to college for women means being raped? Or that if you get the same job as a man but you are a woman or POC you'll get paid only 80%?
And then miss the clear bad actors right in front, those who print money and steal it, those who create massive debt for your children, those who spend the future's wealth on themselves today, those who control who is allowed to say what, control who can go to work, control who can go to church, control who can go to school, starts never-ending undeclared wars, hands out free arms to any country that wants to be at war, mass incarcerates its citizens, runs social security like a ponzi scheme, pretends the dollar doesn't need to be tied to any real assets (just let us tell you want it's worth and set prices and interest rates).
How we came to prefer command economies with central planning, comrade, I do not know.
Apr 14, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
I think it's gonna be so freakin' bad, particularly for the poorer folks, that if we have one brain cell among all of us, we'll realize we need to disconnect from centralized banking, centralized government, centralized pretty much everything, grow our own food locally, and stop giving the Rat Bastards the time of day. The main problem we have, other than the Global Coup d'Etat by psychotic genocidal maniacs, is the PRESS, or lack thereof. I think if we turn to our local communities and build up the connections there, real people, who share the immediate commons, we might be able to get through it better... But so many of us are starting to calm down and wake up now, I think the Rat Bastards are shitting their pants, pardon my francais, and so they're ramping up the fear, the Divide and Conquer techniques, and all the other means of attack, and the ways and means of putting us back in the cage of lockdown, etc.
NO COMPLIANCE! Work around their dictates. This will not be difficult when we reach a tipping point of awareness... I bloody well hope I'm right... or maybe wrong, for the better.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
I hope this is relevant. There is an excellent presentation in day 2 of the Doctors for Covid Ethics Symposium discussing the "going direct reset," which is based on a paper by Blackrock that proposed increasing both the retail money supply and the central bank reserve money supply at the same time, something that was never done before. The author posits that these unprecedented simultaneous increases would lead (have led) to massive inflation. If he's correct, it's likely that the increases in the money supply were intentionally engineered to increase inflation more quickly than would have happened if only the bank money supply had be increased. Bottom line: It appears this new round of unprecedented (since the 70s) inflation was and is intentionally brought to us by the banking cabal that is engineering the entire plandemic. Link below.
Apr 14, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
Especialy after inflation i 1979 and after the crise in 2008, then we were told that now after during 100 years - there in 1920 with Germany getting out deabt by inflation, and 1946 Hungaru hyperinflamation, and so on - learning, then never again we would be hit by inflation, as now we knew anyting about inflation.
And of cause we know anything to do agains inflation, but for politicans doesn't always think in helping citicens.
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
It's eerie, but exactly 100 years ago, the Weimar Republic was brought to its knees by runaway inflation...question is, if History rhymes, what will happen this time around? Pandemic reiteration rhymes with inflation....
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
"how M1 money supply predicts Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and increases six fold, two years early."....I realize I may be being dense here, but could you please help me out? I'm sure it's a basic assumption, but one that I do not possess....exactly how does M1 money supply predict Russia's invasion? Putin took advantage of the west's inflation as the time to attack Ukraine because of some reason? Thanks :)
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
Not sure of the reason or any funny business, but how M1 is counted changed in May, 2020. The changes are seen in 3). Went from "Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, and automatic transfer service, or ATS, accounts at depository institutions, share draft accounts at credit unions, and demand deposits at thrift institutions."
To, "Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately."
Apr 13, 2022Liked by NE - nakedemperor.substack.com
my thoughts tend to agree with classical economist Michael Hudson, which in his book, "and forgive them their debts, lending, foreclosure and redemption from the bronze age finance to the jubilee year", he reviews the history of what happens because of the build up of unsubstainable debt, that either this debt is settled/canceled by forgivness or war...
Using the same inflation calculator as the 70s and 80s the figure is closer to 20%. The highest ever. Get ready for their new thing, cbdcs backed by nothing that are programmed to guide consumer behavior toward "sustainability".
The fiat USD system was already broken and on borrowed time before COVID. WEF "Elites" just used the "Pandemic" as an excuse to squeeze the last juice out of the lemon before provoking a war in Ukraine and blaming Putin for the collapse. Hopefully, enough people in the West can see it for what it is, i.e. an engineered implosion, and we won't end up in WWIII.
My 86 year old father sits in a local psych ward as I write these comments after being admitted for suicidal thoughts. I cannot help but blame the lockdowns for his condition - he was a social person who spent hours several days a week taking exercise classes at a YMCA. I would much prefer he battled with covid than the condition he finds himself in now. He never got the annual flu shots but sadly after reading about long covid he relented and got the pfizer jab.
Just an observation on the misleading party political tagging of Biden here: the biggest printing of USD occurred in 2020 under Trump. Not that either of these guys called the shots anyway.
But the fact is they saved no lives. Damned if they did. How so? They never prevented anyone getting covid - charts of lockdowns v no lockdowns show the same trajectories.
They didn't do it with vaccines; early there were no vaccines. Late the efficacy of vaccines is very disputable. Pfizer vaccine in any case was only ever even touted as adding 0.1% efficacy to the existing efficacy of your immune system. The others would be much the same.
Granted that is an average over their test cases and it may have been higher in the elderly such as you quote. But then would depend, we see with hind and present sight, on when they took the vaccine as against when they got the virus. For the first two weeks after the vaccine makes them more vulnerable to severe and fatal attacks from the virus. So that's very much a moot point.
As against we must put the complete absence of any steps whatever to actually fight the virus and/or enhance the immune system. i.e. getting vitamins and minerals to the right levels and using repurposes anti-virals. Not to mention psychological factors i.e. at least removing the deleterious psychological factors being deliberately - by their own admission - poured into the people in order to frighten them.
Given the above we can see the notional +0.1% may quite easily have been obtained in other ways and without the negatives of the first two weeks vulnerability and the possible first two years of lingering negative effects.
Hence anyone 'saved' by anything the govt did is someone who quite easily could have been better 'saved' by removing the government's heavy hand.
And in all of this we remain steadfastly parochial. We ought now to have fair idea if collateralglobal's prognosticationns of wholesale death and injury, starvation and worse in the third world are being borne out at all.
For if they are those deaths should also be set against any supposed 'saves' govts might claim.
You know what it all looks like to me? LIke they all knew it was disastrous but felt the whole western world and the USA in particular was facing an impossible situation anyway. Might as well go out with a bang.
So they've all just had a party. Each with whatever they could. Pollies with their power. Business with selling all this crap. Media with promoting the party line and handsomely paid to do so. Financiers etc playing the market - I've seen plenty observations claiming the richest have got considerable richer in the last two years. Doctors and hospitals handsomely paid.
Even disgruntled workers paid off for some time - with, of course, their own taxpayer money.
And the remaining people who don't fit into any of that? Yes, us, the 'ordinary' workers and citizens, we just paid for it all and shambled about like dull masked peasant sheep coming in and out of our pens only when told we could.
that's about the size of it isn't it?
It's a very dark sentiment, but I made a post yesterday (albeit more of a ramble) that the increasing death rates we are seeing in heavily locked down countries are the inevitable death of the vulnerable. Although they were held off for a year or two while the rest of the world was getting infected Omicron was able to find these populations.
https://moderndiscontent.substack.com/p/the-erroneous-attempts-at-zero-covid?s=w
I can tell you here in the US gas prices have been steadily increasing since early 2020 and I've been noticing it. What's striking is how all of a sudden the increase in gas is being blamed on the Ukraine/Russia conflict and how many people latch onto it. It's scary how easily people can be made to over ride prior thinking with a mere mention from the news.
It’s just one big shell game, isn’t it?
82 rubles to a USD at the moment. About 3 times higher than 15 years ago. Twice as high as late 2014 before it fell to 60 rubles or so (and stayed there).
Where to next?
I like the graphs and the media clips, but your last four paragraphs are really all that needs to be said. As always, NE-you nailed it.
Money printer go brrr
The war in Ukraine, which I incidentally totally condemn, is literally a godsend for the criminal vaccinators and money printers. So convenient to blame inflation on something other than money printing and suppression of hydrocarbon production. Also a great distraction fromthe ongoing COVID disaster.
What happens in the UK with Covid is outright frightening, frankly.
USA will probably follow closely behind
Can someone please echo “Good Citizen”’s post over and over, please? I am so tired of these people saying it’s the highest inflation since 1981. It’s more simply put, the highest inflation ever. 1981 was 14-14.5%. We are closer to 19% now as he mentioned. 18.8% if you calculate it as I did. Additionally, please remember the 1981 CPI is NOT THE SAME as today’s. It’s accounting sorcery. 1981 weighted gasoline/fuel at 24%. 2022 weights it at around 4%. Soooo, we’re actually much, much worse off than even what I’m saying.
100% agree and I’m one of the old ones 🤣😂
You really think it was an overreaction? If covid wasn’t an accident, then neither was the money-printing. Obviously.
The dissonance is real . . . and can't be corrected. In the UK, I find that the very same people protesting the building of houses in their neighbourhoods (NIMBYS) also say that migrants are welcome.
But like why no complaints when housing went up double or triple in the last decade or so?
Housing comprises of most of our budgets...
Be afraid. Recall when we were all about to die from terrorists? Or your children would never grow up because of school shootings? Or all your LGBTQ and POC are being hunted and killed? Or your kids are about to be kidnapped? Or that going to college for women means being raped? Or that if you get the same job as a man but you are a woman or POC you'll get paid only 80%?
And then miss the clear bad actors right in front, those who print money and steal it, those who create massive debt for your children, those who spend the future's wealth on themselves today, those who control who is allowed to say what, control who can go to work, control who can go to church, control who can go to school, starts never-ending undeclared wars, hands out free arms to any country that wants to be at war, mass incarcerates its citizens, runs social security like a ponzi scheme, pretends the dollar doesn't need to be tied to any real assets (just let us tell you want it's worth and set prices and interest rates).
How we came to prefer command economies with central planning, comrade, I do not know.
I think it's gonna be so freakin' bad, particularly for the poorer folks, that if we have one brain cell among all of us, we'll realize we need to disconnect from centralized banking, centralized government, centralized pretty much everything, grow our own food locally, and stop giving the Rat Bastards the time of day. The main problem we have, other than the Global Coup d'Etat by psychotic genocidal maniacs, is the PRESS, or lack thereof. I think if we turn to our local communities and build up the connections there, real people, who share the immediate commons, we might be able to get through it better... But so many of us are starting to calm down and wake up now, I think the Rat Bastards are shitting their pants, pardon my francais, and so they're ramping up the fear, the Divide and Conquer techniques, and all the other means of attack, and the ways and means of putting us back in the cage of lockdown, etc.
NO COMPLIANCE! Work around their dictates. This will not be difficult when we reach a tipping point of awareness... I bloody well hope I'm right... or maybe wrong, for the better.
I hope this is relevant. There is an excellent presentation in day 2 of the Doctors for Covid Ethics Symposium discussing the "going direct reset," which is based on a paper by Blackrock that proposed increasing both the retail money supply and the central bank reserve money supply at the same time, something that was never done before. The author posits that these unprecedented simultaneous increases would lead (have led) to massive inflation. If he's correct, it's likely that the increases in the money supply were intentionally engineered to increase inflation more quickly than would have happened if only the bank money supply had be increased. Bottom line: It appears this new round of unprecedented (since the 70s) inflation was and is intentionally brought to us by the banking cabal that is engineering the entire plandemic. Link below.
https://rumble.com/vq2qm5-doctors-for-covid-ethics-symposium-july-2021-session-ii-the-going-direct-re.html
Correlation is not causation but fun to see global COVID cases have a parallel spike.
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&facet=none&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~OWID_WRL
I never ever in a thousand years would have thought they would cancel church and/or funerals!
Remember the tourist in "The Rock:"
"What kind of fucked up tour is this?"
Well, that is where I, and millions of Americans are, right now!
Communists always control both sides, and everything else.
ALWAYS
Great charts!
Especialy after inflation i 1979 and after the crise in 2008, then we were told that now after during 100 years - there in 1920 with Germany getting out deabt by inflation, and 1946 Hungaru hyperinflamation, and so on - learning, then never again we would be hit by inflation, as now we knew anyting about inflation.
And of cause we know anything to do agains inflation, but for politicans doesn't always think in helping citicens.
M2 is a better measure. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS
M1 was redefined. https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2021/01/whats-behind-the-recent-surge-in-the-m1-money-supply/ & https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2021/05/savings-are-now-more-liquid-and-part-of-m1-money/
It's eerie, but exactly 100 years ago, the Weimar Republic was brought to its knees by runaway inflation...question is, if History rhymes, what will happen this time around? Pandemic reiteration rhymes with inflation....
"how M1 money supply predicts Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and increases six fold, two years early."....I realize I may be being dense here, but could you please help me out? I'm sure it's a basic assumption, but one that I do not possess....exactly how does M1 money supply predict Russia's invasion? Putin took advantage of the west's inflation as the time to attack Ukraine because of some reason? Thanks :)
Your “doctor friend” is full of the blue kool aid. I hope he is not your “doctor “.. if so I would find another. Thus sayeth this MD doctor.
MMT is the devil's economic policy and it's already here
All planned out years ago, and done on purpose.
I imagine the shocked look on people's faces as they go about their eroding normal routines.
Not sure of the reason or any funny business, but how M1 is counted changed in May, 2020. The changes are seen in 3). Went from "Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, and automatic transfer service, or ATS, accounts at depository institutions, share draft accounts at credit unions, and demand deposits at thrift institutions."
To, "Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately."
my thoughts tend to agree with classical economist Michael Hudson, which in his book, "and forgive them their debts, lending, foreclosure and redemption from the bronze age finance to the jubilee year", he reviews the history of what happens because of the build up of unsubstainable debt, that either this debt is settled/canceled by forgivness or war...